(Princeton, NJ) — August 31, 2010. A wave election it’s not–it’s a tsunami.
According to a new Gallup poll, the 2010 Republican lead in congressional voting preference is twice that of 1994. Twice.
Republicans lead by 51% to 41% among registered voters in Gallup weekly tracking of 2010 congressional voting preferences. The 10-percentage-point lead is the GOP’s largest so far this year and is its largest in Gallup’s history of tracking the midterm generic ballot for Congress. The Republican leads of 6, 7, and 10 points this month are all higher than any previous midterm Republican advantage in Gallup’s history of tracking the generic ballot, which dates to 1942. Prior to this year, the highest such gap was five points, measured in June 2002 and July 1994.
Republicans also have a 25-point lead on enthusiasm.
Unless the Tea Party Taliban types begin to implode and poison the political well, the coming tidal waves are going to wash away Democratic congressional majorities and may threaten Illinois’ legislative majorities, too.
The GOP national tsunami will also likely toss State Senator Bill Brady (R-Bloomington) into Illinois Governor’s mansion for four-years.
Of course 1 week later the same Gallup poll had a Republican lead of ….. Zero!
So much for the greatest lead ever.
In other words, that prior poll was utterly bogus
Posted by k | September 12, 2010, 7:53 PM